Fed Decision Day: What to Watch – Rate Cut Outlook

Today the Federal Reserve Board is set to decide on additional rate cuts.

Our speculative view is that the Fed delivers one final rate cut, but pairs the cut with a pivot towards a hawkish “data-dependent” tone.

A hawkish tilt likely impacts broader risk markets. Specifically, we are watching the U.S. Dollar reaction, as recent dollar weakness has caused gold and silver prices to surge.

Regardless, today’s meeting will be a market-moving event – and if there’s one certainty heading into this meeting, it’s that Chair Powell will once again absorb the bulk of the administration’s criticism.

Read our Year-end Credit Market Update.

Details to know

What: Federal Reserve Board
Time: The Federal Reserve’s announcement – 2:00 p.m. EST. Press Conference: 2:30 p.m. EST.


Note on the writer: Richard Consul is Founder and Managing Partner of Bankers Edge Advisory, a boutique investment bank specializing in structuring and executing custom capital markets solutions for sponsor-driven transactions. Our team of experienced bankers helps sponsors navigate a fragmented private capital markets landscape – bringing clarity, confidence, and execution certainty to complex financing transactions. Let’s start a conversation!

Richard Consul, CFA | Mitch Vermet, CFA, CAIA

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Meet Mitch Vermet,

CFA, CAIA
Managing Director
Our other Managing Director, Mitch Vermet, CFA, CAIA, has a decade of experience in institutional asset management and investment banking. He has served as an integral asset within close-knit investment teams responsible for building portfolios and allocating tactical assets for over $30 billion in institutional capital.
Since earning a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan and an MA in Management from the Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan, Mr. Vermet has demonstrated mastery in helping clients manage and structure their balance sheets with strategic asset liability management solutions. He has built a reputation for helping clients strategically manage risk while capitalizing on opportunities across unique macroeconomic scenarios, lending valuable expertise and foresight to clients.  

Mr. Vermet is a member of the CFA Institute and CAIA Association. He is also a Registered Representative of BA Securities, LLC, and a member of FINRA and SIPC.

Meet Richard Consul,

CFA
Managing Director
Richard Consul, CFA, brings unmatched expertise and experience as one of our Managing Directors. Mr. Consul has over 20 years of domestic and international secondary market expertise as a Senior Portfolio Manager and Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodities Strategist.
Since earning a BBA in Finance and an MSE in Financial Engineering from the University of Michigan, Mr. Consul has served as a dedicated business partner to many corporate, banking, and insurance clients. He has built a reputation for helping clients solve and overcome various complex liquidity, risk management, ALM, and secondary market challenges. 
Mr. Consul has lent his expertise to countless financial publications and platforms, including Asset TV, a renowned video research platform for investment professionals. He is a member of the CFA Institute and has received certifications in Securities Industry Essentials (SIE), Series 82, and Series 63 through FINRA.