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Credit Market Update – September 2025

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U.S. economy remains strong in late 2025 with accelerating growth and ample liquidity.

  • Growth: Q2 GDP +3.8% (consumer/investment driven). Inflation 2.9% (Fed rate 4.25%–4.50%).
  • Jobs/Consumers: Unemployment near 4.1%. Household balance sheets resilient (delinquencies 2.8%).
  • Credit/Corporates: Business delinquencies very low (1.3%). HY spreads tight (2.8%); quality improving (50% BB-rated). Banks highly capitalized (Tier-1 14.1%).
  • Private Markets: Global Private Credit $2.6T; US direct lending $173B (80% of LBOs). M&A driven by mega-deals ($10B+), focusing on scale.

Bottom Line

Constructive outlook into Q4: strong fundamentals, high liquidity, and contained inflation support disciplined growth and risk-taking.

👉 Read our latest U.S. Credit Report for full insights and updates.

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  • Categories: Credit Market Outlook
  • Tags: Capital Raising, Credit Market, Market Outlook, Private Credit
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Meet Mitch Vermet,

CFA, CAIA
Managing Director
Our other Managing Director, Mitch Vermet, CFA, CAIA, has a decade of experience in institutional asset management and investment banking. He has served as an integral asset within close-knit investment teams responsible for building portfolios and allocating tactical assets for over $30 billion in institutional capital.
Since earning a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan and an MA in Management from the Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan, Mr. Vermet has demonstrated mastery in helping clients manage and structure their balance sheets with strategic asset liability management solutions. He has built a reputation for helping clients strategically manage risk while capitalizing on opportunities across unique macroeconomic scenarios, lending valuable expertise and foresight to clients.  

Mr. Vermet is a member of the CFA Institute and CAIA Association. He is also a Registered Representative of BA Securities, LLC, and a member of FINRA and SIPC.

Appointment With Mitch
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Meet Richard Consul,

CFA
Managing Director
Richard Consul, CFA, brings unmatched expertise and experience as one of our Managing Directors. Mr. Consul has over 20 years of domestic and international secondary market expertise as a Senior Portfolio Manager and Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodities Strategist.
Since earning a BBA in Finance and an MSE in Financial Engineering from the University of Michigan, Mr. Consul has served as a dedicated business partner to many corporate, banking, and insurance clients. He has built a reputation for helping clients solve and overcome various complex liquidity, risk management, ALM, and secondary market challenges. 
Mr. Consul has lent his expertise to countless financial publications and platforms, including Asset TV, a renowned video research platform for investment professionals. He is a member of the CFA Institute and has received certifications in Securities Industry Essentials (SIE), Series 82, and Series 63 through FINRA.
Appointment With Richard
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