Credit Market Update – November 2025

U.S. growth remained modest in late 2025 following a solid 3.8% Q2 rebound, as inflation eased to 3.0% and the Fed funds rate moved to 3.5%. While labor market tightness is abating with job openings at 7.2 million, corporate health remains resilient with historically low business loan delinquencies of 1.3%. High-yield spreads have tightened to 2.9%, and robust bank capital buffers of 14.1% continue to provide ample liquidity for steady expansion. The outlook into 2026 remains constructive, supported by a healthy M&A environment and a measured pivot toward lower rates.